Uyu munsi kuri Decoder, ndimo mvugana na Ronan Farrow, umwe mu ba star bakomeye ba raporo ziperereza zikora uyu munsi. Yatandukanije inkuru ya Harvey Weinstein, muri benshi, benshi. Mu cyumweru gishize, we hamwe n’umwanditsi witwa Andrew Marantz basohoye ibintu bidasanzwe byimbitse muri New Yorker ku bijyanye n’umuyobozi mukuru wa OpenAI, Sam Altman, kuba umwizerwa, ndetse no kuzamuka kwa OpenAI ubwayo.
Inyandiko imwe mbere yuko tujya kure hano - New Yorker yasohoye iyo nkuru kandi njye na Ronan twagize iki kiganiro mbere yuko tumenya urugero rwose rw'ibitero byagabwe ku rugo rwa Altman, bityo ntuzumva ko tuvuga kuri ibyo. Ariko kubivuga gusa, ntekereza ko ihohoterwa iryo ariryo ryose ritemewe, ibi bitero byibasiye Sam ntibyari byemewe, kandi ko ubwoko bw'ubutabazi abantu bumva, butera ihohoterwa nk'iryo, ubwabwo butemewe, kandi bukwiye gusuzumwa cyane haba mu nganda ndetse n'abayobozi bacu ba politiki. Nizere ko ibyo bisobanutse.
Abafatabuguzi ba verge, ntuzibagirwe ko ubona uburyo bwihariye bwo kwamamaza kubuntu-Decoder aho ubonye hose podcasts. Umutwe hano. Ntabwo ari abiyandikisha? Urashobora kwiyandikisha hano.
Ibimaze kuvugwa byose, hari byinshi bizunguruka kuri Altman uwo ni umukino mwiza wo gutanga raporo zikomeye - ubwoko bwa raporo Ronan na Andereya biyemeje gukora. Bitewe no kuba ChatGPT izwi cyane, Altman yagaragaye nk'umuntu ugaragara cyane mu nganda za AI, amaze guhindura laboratoire y'ubushakashatsi idaharanira inyungu ihinduka sosiyete yigenga igera kuri tiriyari y'amadorari mu myaka mike gusa. Ariko umugani wa Altman uravuguruzanya cyane, bisobanurwa kimwe nubushobozi bwe bugaragara bwo gucuruza ndetse no kuba avuga ko… neza, kubeshya abantu bose bamukikije.
Iyi nkuru ifite amagambo arenga 17,000, kandi ikubiyemo twavuga ko ari inkuru isobanutse y'ibyabaye mu 2023 ubwo inama y'ubutegetsi ya OpenAI yirukanaga mu buryo butunguranye Altman kubera ibinyoma bivugwa ko yabeshye, gusa yahise ahita asubizwa mu kazi. Nibindi byimbitse mubuzima bwite bwa Altman, ishoramari rye, kurambagiza amafaranga yo muburasirazuba bwo hagati, ndetse no gutekereza kwe kumyitwarire ye ya kera ndetse nimico ye yatumye isoko imwe ivuga ko "atabangamiwe nukuri." Ndagusaba rwose ko wasoma inkuru yose; Ndakeka ko bizerekanwa mumyaka myinshi iri imbere.
Ronan yavuganye na Altman inshuro nyinshi mumezi 18 yamaze atangaza iki gice, nuko rero kimwe mubintu by'ingenzi nifuzaga kumenya ni ukumenya niba hari impinduka zabaye muri Altman muri kiriya gihe. Erega, byinshi byabaye muri AI, mubuhanga, ndetse no mwisi mumwaka ushize.
Uzumva Ronan avuga kuri ibyo mu buryo butaziguye, kimwe no kumva ko abantu barushijeho kugira ubushake bwo kuvuga ku bushobozi bwa Altman bwo kwagura ukuri. Abantu batangiye kwibaza, mu ijwi riranguruye no ku nyandiko, niba imyitwarire y'abantu nka Altman ireba, atari kuri AI cyangwa ikoranabuhanga gusa ahubwo no ku gihe kizaza cya sosiyete.
Sawa: Ronan Farrow kuri Sam Altman, AI, nukuri. Hano turagiye.
Iki kiganiro cyahinduwe byoroheje kuburebure no gusobanuka.
Ronan Farrow, uri umunyamakuru wiperereza kandi utanga umusanzu muri The New Yorker. Murakaza neza kuri Decoder.
Nishimiye kuba hano. Urakoze kundeba.
Nshimishijwe cyane no kuvugana nawe. Wanditse gusa igice kinini kuri New Yorker. Ni umwirondoro wa Sam Altman kandi, ubwoko bwawo, OpenAI. Nabisomye ni uko, nkuko ibintu byose bikomeye bibikora, ikora, hamwe na raporo ikaze, yemeza ibyiyumvo byinshi abantu bagize kuri Sam Altman igihe kinini cyane. Biragaragara ko wabitangaje, wabonye reaction kuri yo. Wowe ubyumva ute ubungubu?
Nibyiza, Nagize umutima, mubyukuri, nukuntu yaciwemo mugihe ubukungu bwitaweho bumeze nka sikizofrenike kandi idakabije. Iyi ni inkuru, uko mbona, itureba twese. Kandi iyo namaze umwaka nigice cyubuzima bwanjye, hamwe nuwanditse, Andrew Marantz, nawe yamaranye icyo gihe cye, rwose agerageza gukora ikintu cyubucamanza kandi bwitondewe, burigihe kuko numva ko hari ibibazo binini byubatswe bigira ingaruka kubantu barenze umuntu kugiti cye hamwe nisosiyete kumutima winkuru.
Sam Altman, inyuma yumuco wibihimbano bya Silicon hamwe nabantu batangiye iyo ballon kubiciro byagaciro bishingiye kumasezerano ashobora cyangwa atazasohora mugihe kizaza, hamwe no kwiyongera kwumuco washinze utekereza kubwira amatsinda atandukanye ibintu bivuguruzanya nibintu biranga, ntabwo abug… Ndetse nubwo bimeze bityo, Sam Altman ni urubanza rudasanzwe aho abantu bose bo mu kibaya cya Silicon bategereje ko ibyo bintu badashobora guhagarika kuvuga kuri iki kibazo cyo kwizerwa kwe no kuba inyangamugayo.
Twari tumaze kumenya ko yirukanwe kubera verisiyo zimwe na zimwe zishinja ubuhemu cyangwa serial bivugwa ko abeshya. Ariko bidasanzwe, nubwo habaye raporo nziza, Keach Hagey yakoze akazi gakomeye kuriyi. Karen Hao yakoze akazi gakomeye kuriyi. Mu byukuri ntabwo habaye gusobanukirwa neza ingingo zifatika zivugwa nimpamvu zatumye abo batagaragara mumaso ya rubanda.
Ingingo ya mbere rero nuko numva nshimishijwe nuko bimwe muri ibyo byuho mubumenyi rusange bwacu, ndetse no mubumenyi bwimbere mu kibaya cya Silicon, ubu byujujwe bike. Zimwe mu mpamvu zatumye habaho icyuho zujujwe muri bike.
Dutanga raporo kubibazo abantu bari muri iyi sosiyete bumvaga rwose ko ibintu bitwikiriwe cyangwa nkana bitanditse nkana. Kimwe mu bintu bishya muri iyi nkuru ni iperereza rikomeye ry’amategeko ryakozwe na WilmerHale, bigaragara ko ari uruganda rwiza, rwizewe, rukomeye mu by'amategeko rwakoze iperereza kuri Enron na WorldCom, nk'uko byavuzwe, byose byari byinshi, nk'impapuro amagana zasohotse. WilmerHale yakoze iri perereza ryasabwe n'abagize inama y'ubutegetsi birukanye Altman kugira ngo bagende igihe yabakuyeho, aragaruka. Kandi bidasanzwe - mumaso yinzobere nyinshi mubyamategeko naganiriye, kandi igitangaje mumaso yabantu benshi muri iyi sosiyete - barinze kwandika. Ibintu byose byagaragaye muri ibyo ni amagambo 800 yatangajwe na OpenAI asobanura ibyabaye nko gusenyuka. Kandi twemeje ko ibyo byabitswe mu magambo.
Hariho aho, nk'urugero, umwe mu bagize inama y'ubutegetsi asa n'ushaka gutora kurwanya ihinduka kuva mu ifishi y'umwimerere idaharanira inyungu ya OpenAI ihinduka ikigo cyunguka, kandi byanditswe nko kwifata. Hariho nk'umunyamategeko muri iyo nama agira ati: "Nibyo, ibyo bishobora gukurikiranwa cyane." Kandi umuntu ushaka gutora arandikwa nko kwifata kubigaragara byose. Hano hari impaka zifatika. OpenAI isaba ukundi, nkuko ushobora kubyiyumvisha. Izi nizo manza zose aho ufite isosiyete, kuri konte yayo, ifata ejo hazaza hacu mumaboko.
Ibigega byumutekano birakabije kuburyo bitagiye. Ninimpamvu iyi sosiyete yashinzwe nkudaharanira inyungu yibanda kumutekano, kandi aho ibintu byari bitwikiriwe muburyo abantu bizewe hirya no hino basanze atari umwuga. Kandi mwebwe mwashakanye ibyo hamwe ninyuma aho hari ubushake buke bwa politiki bwo kugenga ibintu bifatika. Ntekereza ko ari ibintu byaka cyane.
Ingingo kuri njye ntabwo gusa Sam Altman akwiye ibi bibazo cyane. Ni uko kandi muri aba basore muri uru rwego, hamwe nabenshi mubantu bakomeye, berekana, niba atari iyi mico idasanzwe, ivugwa ko ibeshya-igihe cyose, rwose urwego runaka rwimitekerereze-yubwoko-bwenge, aho abantu bari abashinzwe umutekano bavomereye iyo mihigo kandi buriwese ari mumwanya wo gusiganwa.
Ndibwira ko, iyo turebye vuba aha muri Anthropique, hari umuntu utanga ikibazo cyumuntu ugomba gutunga urutoki kuri buto muriki gice. Igisubizo nuko, niba tudafite ubugenzuzi bufite ireme, ngira ngo tugomba kubaza ibibazo bikomeye kandi tugerageza kwerekana amakuru menshi ashoboka kuri aba basore bose. Njye rero natewe umutima nibyumva nkikiganiro gifatika kubyerekeye, cyangwa intangiriro yimwe.
Impamvu nabibajije gutya nuko wakoze kuri ibi umwaka nigice. Waganiriye, ndizera ko abantu 100 hamwe nuwanditse, Andereya. Nigihe kinini kugirango inkuru iteke. Ndatekereza kubyumwaka ushize nigice muri AI byumwihariko, numuhungu, gira imyumvire nindangagaciro zizi nyuguti zose zahindutse vuba cyane.
Birashoboka ko ntanumwe urenze Sam Altman, watangiye nkuwatsinze bisanzwe kuko bari barekuye ChatGPT kandi abantu bose batekereje ko bizatwara Google gusa. Hanyuma Google yashubije, bisa nkibabatangaje ko Google yagerageza kurinda ubucuruzi bwayo, wenda imwe mubucuruzi bwiza mumateka yikoranabuhanga, niba atari amateka yubucuruzi. Anthropic yahisemo ko izibanda ku kigo. Birasa nkaho gufata ubuyobozingaho kuko imishinga ikoresha AI iri hejuru cyane.
Noneho, OpenAI irimo gusubiramo ibicuruzwa byayo kure ya "tugiye gufata Google" kuri Codex, kandi bagiye gufata ikigo. Gusa sinshobora kumenya neza niba, mugihe cya raporo yawe mumwaka ushize nigice, niba byunvikana ko imico mwavuganaga yahindutse? Kimwe n'imyitwarire yabo n'indangagaciro zabo, ibyo byahindutse?
Yego. Ntekereza ko mbere ya byose, ko kunengwa gukorerwa ubushakashatsi muri iki gice, bituruka ku bantu benshi bari muri aya masosiyete muri iki gihe - ko iyi ari inganda, nubwo hari imigabane ihari, igenda imanuka mu kintu cy’isiganwa kugeza hasi ku mutekano kandi aho umuvuduko urimo uratera ibindi byose - izo mpungenge ziyongereye cyane. Kandi ndatekereza ko izo mpungenge zemejwe cyane kuko umwaka nigice gishize. Icyarimwe, imyumvire kuri Sam Altman yarahindutse byumwihariko. Igihe twatangiraga kuvugana ninkomoko yibi, abantu mubyukuri, rwose barashimishijwe no kuvugwa kuriyi ngingo no kujya mubyanditsweho.
Raporo yacu irangiye, ufite urwego rwo gutanga raporo aho abantu bavuga kuri ibi kumugaragaro kandi ku buryo bweruye, kandi ufite abagize inama y'ubutegetsi bavuga ibintu nka, "Ni umubeshyi w'indwara. Ni sociopath." Hariho ibitekerezo bitandukanye biva kuri, "Ibi ni akaga ukurikije umutekano, kandi dukeneye abayobozi b'ikoranabuhanga ryazamuye ubunyangamugayo," kugeza aho bakunda, "Wibagirwe imigabane y'umutekano, iyi ni imyitwarire idashidikanywaho ku muyobozi uwo ari we wese w'ikigo gikomeye, ko itera imikorere mibi cyane."
Ikiganiro rero cyarushijeho gusobanuka muburyo bwumva wenda bwatinze, ariko butera umutima muburyo bumwe. Kandi Sam Altman, kumushimira… Igice ni cyiza cyane ndetse kiratanga, nabwira Sam. Ntabwo arubwoko bwigice aho hari ibintu byinshi "byakubonye". Namaraga amasaha menshi, kuri terefone mugihe twarangizaga ibi kandi rwose twaramwumvise.
Nkuko ushobora kubyiyumvisha, mubice nkibi, ntabwo ibintu byose bibikora. Bimwe muribyo bibazo muribi byatewe nuko numvaga mbikuye ku mutima. Niba kandi Sam yarimo atanga impaka ko numvaga yatwaye amazi, ko ikintu, nubwo cyaba ari ukuri, gishobora kuba sensationaliste, rwose naribeshye kuruhande rwo gukomeza urwo rukiko nkapima. Ndatekereza rero ko ibyo byakiriwe neza, kandi ndizera ko iyi nyandiko ifatika yakusanyirijwe muri iki gihe gishobora gutera ibiganiro byimbitse kubyerekeye gukenera kugenzurwa.
Nukuri mubyukuri ikibazo cyanjye gikurikira. Ndatekereza ko waganiriye na Sam inshuro icumi mugihe cyo gutanga iyi nkuru. Na none, ibyo ni ibiganiro byinshi mugihe kirekire. Wibwiraga ko Sam yahindutse mugihe cya raporo yumwaka ushize?
Yego. Ndibwira ko imwe muri subplots zishimishije muribi nuko Sam Altman nawe avuga kuriyi mico neza cyane kuruta uko yabivuze kera. Imyifatire ya Sam muri iki gice ntabwo imeze, "Nta kintu gihari, ibi ntabwo ari ukuri; sinzi ibyo uvuga." Umwanya afite ni uko avuga ko ibyo biterwa no gushimisha abantu no kwanga amakimbirane. Yemera ko byamuteye ibibazo, cyane cyane mu mwuga we.
Arimo agira ati: “Nibyo, ndimo ndarengana ibyo, cyangwa ngomba kuba nararenze ibyo.” Ndibwira ko icyanshimishije cyane ari itsinda ryabantu twaganiriye batari abunganira umutekano gusa, ntabwo ari abashakashatsi ba tekinike gusa basanzwe bakunze kugira izo mpungenge zikomeye z'umutekano, ariko kandi n'abashoramari ba pragmatique, igihe kinini. Ni abashyigikiye Sam, mu bihe bimwe na bimwe, bareba iki kibazo bakavuga no kuba yaragize uruhare runini mu kugaruka kwe nyuma yo kuraswa. Noneho, kuri iki kibazo cyo kumenya niba yaravuguruwe, kandi ni mu buhe buryo iryo hinduka rifite ireme, baravuga bati: "Nibyo, twamuhaye inyungu zo gushidikanya icyo gihe."
Ndatekereza ku mushoramari ukomeye cyane wavuze ati: "Ariko kuva icyo gihe, birasa nkaho atakuwe inyuma yishyamba," iyi niyo nteruro uyu yakoresheje, kugeza aho byari bikenewe. Nkigisubizo, bisa nkibi ubu ni imico ihamye. Turimo kubibona muburyo bukomeza. Urashobora kureba bimwe mubucuruzi bukomeye bwa OpenAIumubano nuburyo ubwoko bwo gutwara uburemere bwukutizerana muburyo bukomeza.
Kimwe na Microsoft, uganira n'abayobozi hariya, kandi bafite ibibazo bikaze kandi biherutse gutera impungenge. Hano hari urugero aho, kumunsi umwe OpenAI yongeye gushimangira umwihariko wa Microsoft kubijyanye na moderi ya AI idafite ubwenegihugu nayo iratangaza amasezerano mashya na Amazon ajyanye no kugurisha ibisubizo byibikorwa byo kubaka abakozi ba AI bafite leta, bivuze ko bafite kwibuka.
Uraganira n'abantu ba Microsoft, kandi bameze nka, "Ibyo ntibishoboka gukora utabanje gukorana nibintu byihishe dufite amasezerano yo guhezwa." Urwo rero ni rumwe gusa mu ngero ntoya aho iyi mico igira uruhare mubikorwa byubucuruzi bikomeza kandi buri gihe bikaba ari impungenge zikomeye mubuyobozi bwa OpenAI, muri suite nyobozi yayo, no mumuryango mugari w'ikoranabuhanga.
Ukomeje kuvuga iyo “mico.” Hano hari umurongo murinkuru kuri njye numva ari theisis, kandi ni ibisobanuro biranga imico urondora. Ni uko "Sam Altman atabujijwe n'ukuri" kandi ko afite "imico ibiri itigeze igaragara mu muntu umwe: icya mbere ni icyifuzo gikomeye cyo gushimisha abantu, gukundwa mu mikoranire iyo ari yo yose, naho icya kabiri ni hafi ya sociopathique yo kutita ku ngaruka zishobora guturuka ku gushuka umuntu."
Ndagira ngo nkubwire, nasomye iyo nteruro inshuro 500, kandi nagerageje kwiyumvisha buri gihe mvuga ibyo abantu bifuzaga gukundwa hanyuma ntibababaze iyo bumvise ko babeshye. Kandi sinshobora kumvikanisha amarangamutima yanjye uburyo ibyo bintu bishobora kubaho kumuntu umwe. Waganiriye na Sam cyane, kandi waganiriye nabantu bahuye niyi mico. Yabikora ate?
Yego. Birashimishije kurwego rwumuntu kuko niyegereza imibiri yo gutanga raporo nkiyi nibanda cyane kubumuntu kubantu bose kumutima wacyo no gushaka gusobanukirwa byimbitse nimpuhwe. Mugihe nagerageje kubigeraho nkurikije abantu nkavuga nti: "Hey, ibi byambabaza cyane niba abantu benshi nakoranye nabo bavuze ko ndi umubeshyi w’indwara. Witwaza ute ubwo buremere? Nigute ubivugaho ute mu kuvura? Ni ubuhe nkuru wibwira kuri ibyo?"
Nabonye ubwoko bumwe, uko mbibona, ahari imyifatire ya West Coast kubyerekeye nka, "Yego, nkunda akazi ko guhumeka." Ariko ntabwo aribyinshi muburyo bwo guhuza ibitekerezo byo kwikuramo cyane ndibwira ko benshi muritwe twagira iyo tubona ibitekerezo nkibi bijyanye nimyitwarire yacu ndetse nuburyo dufata abantu.
Ntekereza ko mubyukuri bijya mubisubizo byagutse kubibazo, nabyo. Sam yemeza ko iyo mico yateje ibibazo, ariko kandi ko biri mu byamuhaye imbaraga zo kwihutisha iterambere rya OpenAI ku buryo abasha kwishyira hamwe no gushimisha amatsinda atandukanye y'abantu. Yahoraga yemeza utwo turere twose tuvuguruzanya ko icyo bitaweho aricyo yitaho. Kandi ibyo birashobora kuba ubuhanga bwingirakamaro kubashinze. Naganiriye n'abashoramari bahita bavuga bati: "Nibyo, birashoboka ko ari ubuhanga buke buke bwo kuyobora sosiyete kuko ibiba umwiryane mwinshi."
Ariko kuruhande rwa Sam ku giti cyanjye, ntekereza ko ikintu mfata iyo ngerageje guhuza kurwego rwumuntu nikigaragara nko kubura guhangana byimbitse, gutekereza, no kubazwa ibyo aribyo, binamenyesha ko imbaraga zidasanzwe cyangwa inshingano kubisosiyete itegura IPO.
Ni umuntu, mu magambo y'uwahoze ari umwe mu bagize inama y'ubutegetsi witwa Sue Yoon, uri ku rutonde muri iki gice avuga ko kugeza kuri "fecklessness" ari interuro akoresha, abasha kwizera rwose ukuri guhinduka kw'ibibanza bye byo kugurisha cyangwa abasha kubyemeza. Cyangwa byibuze niba atabizera, arashobora kubavugisha muri bo nta gushidikanya bifatika.
Ndibwira ko ikintu urimo uvuga, aho wowe cyangwa njyewe, nkuko tuvuga ikintu tukamenya ko bivuguruzanya nibindi byiringiro twakoze, ubwoko bwo kugira akanya ko kwikonjesha cyangwa kwisuzuma ubwacu. Ntekereza ko ibyo bitamubaho. Kandi hariho umuco mugari wa Silicon Valley hype umuco numuco washinze ubwoko bwakiriye ibyo.
Birasekeje. Verge yubatswe ku gipimo cyo gusuzuma ibicuruzwaPorogaramu. Numutima wibyo dukora hano. Mfashe miriyari y'amadorari ya Apple R&D rimwe mu mwaka ndavuga nti: "Iyi terefone ni irindwi." Kandi biratanga uburenganzira bwo gutanga raporo zacu n'ibitekerezo byacu ahandi. Dufite umurimo wo gusuzuma, kandi tumara umwanya munini tureba ibicuruzwa bya AI tuvuga tuti: "Bakora?"
Ibyo birasa nkaho bibuze mubiganiro byinshi bijyanye na AI nkuko bimeze uyumunsi. Hano haribiganiro bitagira ingano kubyo bishobora kuba bishobora gukora, burya bishobora guteza akaga. Noneho uragabanuka, ukavuga uti: "Ese koko ikora ikintu cyagombaga gukora uyu munsi?" Rimwe na rimwe, igisubizo ni yego. Ariko muri byinshi, byinshi, igisubizo ni oya.
Ibyo byunvikana nkaho bihuza numuco wo gusebanya urimo gusobanura kandi no kumva ko, nibyiza, niba uvuze ko hari icyo bizakora kandi bitabikora, kandi umuntu akumva nabi, nibyiza kuko turi mubintu bikurikira. Ibyo byahise. Kandi muri AI byumwihariko, Sam ni mwiza cyane mugusezerana bikomeye.
Muri iki cyumweru gusa, ndatekereza ko umunsi umwe inkuru yawe yasohowe, OpenAI yasohoye inyandiko ya politiki ivuga ko tugomba kongera gutekereza ku masezerano mbonezamubano kandi dufite leta ikoresha amafaranga ya AI. Iri ni isezerano rikomeye ryukuntu ikoranabuhanga rishobora guhindura ejo hazaza h'isi nuburyo tubayeho, kandi ibyo byose bishingiye ku ikoranabuhanga rikora muburyo wenda byasezeranijwe gukora cyangwa bigomba gukora.
Wigeze ubona Sam ashidikanya AI ihinduka AGI cyangwa superintelligence cyangwa kugera kumurongo wa nyuma? Kuberako aricyo kintu nibaza kuri byinshi. Haba hari ibitekerezo byerekana niba iri koranabuhanga ryibanze rishobora gukora ibintu byose bavuga ko rishobora gukora?
Nukuri neza neza ibibazo. Hano hari abatekinisiye bizewe twavuganye muriki gice cyo gutanga raporo - kandi biragaragara ko Sam Altman atari umwe; ni umuntu wubucuruzi - uvuga uburyo Sam avuga kubyerekeranye nigihe cyikoranabuhanga arikugenda. Hano hari inyandiko za blog zisubira inyuma mumyaka mike aho Sam avuga ati: "Tumaze kugera kuri horizone. AGI muri rusange hano. Superintelligence irihafi. Tugiye kuba ku yindi mibumbe. Tugiye gukiza kanseri zose." Mubyukuri, ntabwo ndimo kurimbisha.
Kanseri umuntu arashimishije mubyukuri, ko Sam arimo aravugisha umuntu wakijije kanseri yimbwa yabo hamwe na ChatGPT, kandi siko byagenze. Baganiriye na ChatGPT, kandi ibyo byabafashaga kuyobora abashakashatsi bamwe bakoze koko, ariko umwe-umwe, iki gikoresho cyakijije iyi mbwa ntabwo arinkuru.
Nishimiye ko wazamuye iyo ngingo kuko ndashaka gukomeza kuriyi ngingo nini yerekeye igihe ubushobozi ndetse ningaruka zikoranabuhanga bigiye gutangwa. Ariko birakwiye kuvuga utu tuntu duto duhora tuba kuri Sam Altman, aho asa nkaho yongeye kwerekana iyi mico.
Ndashaka kuvuga, gukoresha urugero rwa raporo ya WilmerHale, aho twari dufite aya makuru yari yabujijwe kwandikwa, kandi twashakaga kumenya niba amagambo mvugo munzira yahawe undi muntu utari babiri mubagize inama y'ubutegetsi Sam yafashije gushiraho kugirango ayigenzure. Na we ati: "Yego, yego, oya, ndizera ko byahawe abantu bose binjiye mu nama nyuma." Dufite umuntu ufite ubumenyi butaziguye kubyerekeye kuvuga ko ari ibinyoma gusa. Kandi ibyo rwose bigaragara ko aribyo, ko atari ukuri. Niba dushaka gutanga, birashoboka ko yabimenyeshejwe nabi.
Hariho byinshi muribi byiringiro bisanzwe. Kandi nkoresha urwo rugero igice kuko nurugero rwiza rwo gutandukana, reka tubyite, bishobora kugira ingaruka nyazo byemewe n'amategeko. Sinkeneye kukubwira, hakurikijwe amategeko agenga isosiyete ya Delaware, niba iyi sosiyete IPO, abanyamigabane bashobora, kurenga ku ngingo ya 220, kwitotomba kandi bagasaba ibyangombwa bishingiye. Hariho abagize inama y'ubutegetsi bavuga ibintu nka, “Erega, tegereza gato, ko gutanga amakuru byari bikwiye kubaho.”
Ibi bintu rero bisa nkaho bisimbuka mu kanwa igihe cyose, birashobora kugira ingaruka nyazo zigenda ku isoko, ingaruka nyazo kuri OpenAI. Kubisubiza mubwoko bwururimi rwa utopian rwongeye kugaragara, ngira ngo ntabwo byahuriranye kumunsi iki gice cyasohotse, biranatugiraho ingaruka twese, kuko akaga gakabije kubijyanye nuburyo bimezekoherezwa mu ntwaro, uburyo ikoreshwa mu kumenya imiti y’intambara y’imiti, ubushobozi bwa disinformation, kandi kubera uburyo impuha za utopian zisa nkaho zitera abahanga benshi mu bukungu bizewe kuvuga bati: "Ibi bifite ibimenyetso byose byerekana ububi."
Ndetse na Sam Altman yagize ati: "Umuntu azahomba amafaranga menshi hano." Ibyo birashobora rwose guhungabanya iterambere ryinshi ryubukungu bwabanyamerika ndetse nisi yose, niba haribintu bimeze nkugutobora kwukuri kwinshi kuribi bigo byose bikorana amasezerano, kujya muri AI mugihe uguza cyane. Ibyo rero Sam Altman avuga bifite akamaro, kandi ngira ngo ubutware bwabantu bamukikije, wavuze ko twavuganye nabarenga ijana, mubyukuri byari byiza birenga ijana. Twaganiriye kumurongo wa nyuma aho bimeze, "Byaba ari bike cyane kuvuga ko ari nkuyu mubare munini cyane?" Kandi twabaye nka, "Yego, reka dukine hasi. Tuzayikina neza." Ariko hariho abantu benshi cyane kandi benshi muribo muri bo bavuga bati: "Ibi ni impungenge." Kandi nibaza ko aribyo byose.
Reka nkubaze kubyerekeye iyo mibare. Nkuko wabivuze, abantu barushijeho gufungura impungenge uko ibihe byagiye bisimburana. Birasa nkigitutu gikikije igituba - isiganwa ryo gutsinda, kwishyura ibyo bishoramari byose, kugaragara nkuwatsinze, kuri IPO - byahinduye imyumvire myinshi. Rwose byateje igitutu kinini kuri Sam na OpenAI.
Twasohoye inkuru muri iki cyumweru gusa kijyanye na vibes za OpenAI. Amateka yawe ni igice cyayo, ariko impinduka nini zabakozi mubyiciro byabayobozi muri OpenAI - abantu baraza bakagenda. Abashakashatsi bose bagiye kure, ahanini muri Anthropique, nibaza ko rwose bishimishije. Urashobora kubona gusa iyi sosiyete yumva igitutu, kandi irasubiza uwo muvuduko muburyo bumwe.
Ariko rero ndatekereza gusubira kuri Sam kwirukanwa. Ibi ntibizibagirana kuri njye. Ntibibagirana kubandi, ariko nafashe isoko kuri Bronx Zoo kuri 7PM kuwa gatanu, kandi hari umuntu wavuze ko bagiye kugerageza kugarura Sam. Noneho twarangije weekend dukurikirana iyo nkuru hasi. Nanjye nari meze, "Ndi kuri pariki. Urashaka ko nkora iki hano?" Igisubizo cyari, “Guma kuri terefone.” Nibyiza, umukobwa wanjye yari nka, “Kura kuri terefone.” Kandi nibyo nakoze.
Byari kugenda cyangwa gupfa kugirango Sam agaruke. Iyo sosiyete yari nka, "Oya, ntabwo tureka ngo inama y'ubutegetsi yirukane Sam Altman." Abashoramari, bavuzwe mu gice cyawe, "Twagiye ku rugamba," ngira ngo ni umwanya wa Thrive Capital, "kugirango Sam agaruke." Microsoft yagiye kurugamba kugirango Sam agaruke. Byatinze, none abantu bose bameze nka, "Tugiye kuri IPO. Twageze ku murongo wa nyuma. Twasubije umusore wacu, kandi azatugeza ku murongo wa nyuma. Dufite impungenge ko ari umubeshyi."
Kuki byari intambara yo kumugarura icyo gihe? Kuberako ntabwo bisa nkibintu byahindutse mubyukuri. Uravuga kuri memoire Ilya Sutskever na [Umuyobozi mukuru wa Anthropique] Dario Amodei babitse mugihe bari mugihe cya Sam Altman. Ilya ya mbere impungenge ni uko Sam ari umubeshyi.
Nta na kimwe muri ibyo cyahindutse. None se kuki byari intambara kumugarura icyo gihe? Noneho ubu ko turi kumurongo wanyuma, birasa nkaho impungenge zose ziri hanze.
Nibyiza, ubanza, mbabajwe numukobwa wawe na mugenzi wanjye hamwe nabandi bantu bose bakikije abanyamakuru.
(Aseka) Wari wikendi kuri buri wese.
Yego, bisaba ubuzima bwumuntu, kandi iyi nkuru rwose ifite iyanjye, mugihe cyanyuma. Mubyukuri bifitanye isano niyi nsanganyamatsiko yubunyamakuru no kubona amakuru, ngira ngo. Abashoramari bagiye kurugamba rwa Sam kandi bose bagize uruhare mukureba ko yagarutse, hamwe ninama yari yarateguwe byumwihariko kurinda inshingano zidaharanira inyungu zo gushyira umutekano hejuru yiterambere no kwirukana umuyobozi niba badashobora kugirirwa ikizere, baragenda. Ibyo byari byose kuko, yego, gushimangira isoko byari bihari, sibyo?
Sam yashoboye kumvisha abantu, ati: "Nibyo, isosiyete igiye gusenyuka." Ariko impamvu yari afite inkunga ni ukubura amakuru. Abo bashoramari, mu bihe byinshi, ubu baravuga bati: “Nsubije amaso inyuma, kandi ndatekereza ko nari nkwiye kugira impungenge nyinshi iyo nza kumenya neza ibirego ibyo ari byo n'impungenge.”
Ntabwo ari bose;ibitekerezo biratandukanye, kandi twatanze ibitekerezo bitandukanye, ariko haribintu byingenzi byakoraga kumakuru y igice. Ubuyobozi bwirukanye Sam bwari, mu magambo y’umuntu umwe wahoze ku kibaho, “JV cyane,” maze bahina umupira cyane. Kandi twanditse ibirego byihishe inyuma, kandi abantu barashobora kwihitiramo ubwabo niba bikusanyije muburyo bwihutirwa bumvise ko aribyo, ariko iyo mpaka namakuru ntabwo yatanzwe.
Bakiriye ibyo bamwe muribo bemera nkinama mbi. Kugirango ubisobanure, uzibuka amagambo, kandi birashoboka ko benshi mubaguteze amatwi hamwe nababareba bazibuka ayo magambo nko kubura candor. Nibyo byagabanijwe, hanyuma mubyukuri ntibari guhamagara.
Ntibari guhamagara. Nzi neza ko wagerageje. Abantu bose nzi baragerageje, bigera aho, nkumunyamakuru, utagomba gutanga inama zinkomoko yawe, ariko nabaye nk, "Ibi bizashira niba udatangiye kwisobanura."
Kandi nibyo byabaye. Wibagirwe abanyamakuru. Wari ufite Satya Nadella avuga ati: "Byagenze bite? Sinshobora kubona umuntu ansobanurira." Kandi uwo niwe muterankunga mukuru wikigo. Noneho ufite Satya ahamagara [washinze LinkedIn] Reid Hoffman na Reid bahamagara hirya no hino bati: "Sinzi uko guswera byagenze."
Birumvikana ko muri kiriya cyuho cyamakuru, bashakisha ibipimo gakondo bitari AI byakwemeza kurasa byihutirwa, bitunguranye. Nk, sawa, byari ibyaha byibitsina? Byari kunyereza umutungo? Kandi ibintu byose byihishe, ariko ndatekereza ko bifite ireme, impaka zivuga ko ubu buhanga butandukanye kandi ko ubu buryo bwo guhora ukusanya ubuhemu buto bushobora kugira imigabane ifatika haba muri ubu bucuruzi ndetse wenda no ku isi, bwatakaye. Inkunga ya capitaliste rero yaratsinze, ariko nabantu babikoze barasohoka kandi ntabwo buri gihe bakoraga bafite amakuru yuzuye.
Ndashaka kubaza gusa kubyerekeye "icyo abantu bose batekerezaga ko aricyo" mumwanya umwe, kuko rwose nabonye amakuru, ndavuga nti: "Yoo, ikintu kibi kigomba kuba cyarabaye." Wakoze byinshi byo gutanga raporo #MeToo, uzwi. Wamennye inkuru ya Harvey Weinstein.
Wakoresheje umwanya munini utanga raporo kuri ibi birego nkeka ko wahisemo ko bidafite ishingiro: ko Altman yasambanyije abana bato cyangwa yahaye akazi abakora imibonano mpuzabitsina, cyangwa akica uwatanze amakuru kuri OpenAI. Ndashaka kuvuga, uri umuntu ushobora kumenyesha ibi bintu cyane. Wafashe umwanzuro ko ntacyo bimaze?
Nibyiza, reba, Ntabwo ndi mubucuruzi bwo kuvuga ikintu cyabaye impfabusa. Icyo navuga nuko namaze amezi ndeba ibi birego ntabwo nabonye ibyemeza. Kandi byarantangaje kubona aba basore, aya masosiyete afite imbaraga nyinshi kubejo hazaza hacu, mubyukuri bakoresha igihe cyabo nubutunzi butagereranywa murugamba rwabana.
Umuyobozi umwe asobanura ko ari “Shakespearean.” Umubare w'amafaranga yiperereza ryigenga hamwe na dossier za opposition zirimo gukorwa ntizihoraho. Kandi ikintu kibabaje nuko ubwoko bwibintu byiza, bigenda bigereranywa nabanywanyi ba Sam, bifatwa nkukuri, sibyo? Hariho iki kirego avuga ko akurikirana abahungu batarageza ku myaka y'ubukure, kandi mu birori byinshi bya cocktail mu kibaya cya Silicon, urabyumva. Ku ruzinduko rw'inama, numvise byasubiwemo gusa n'abayobozi bizewe, bakomeye: "Abantu bose bazi ko ari ukuri."
Ikintu kibabaje nuko mvuga aho ibi biva, ibice bitandukanye byanduzwa. Elon Musk na bagenzi be basa nkaho basunika dossier zikomeye cyane nkubusa. Zirabyuka mugihe utangiye rwose kureba ibirego byihishe. Ikintu kibabaje nuko mubyukuri bihishe kunegura gushingiye kubimenyetso hano nibaza ko bikwiye rwose kugenzurwa byihutirwa.
Indi nsanganyamatsiko igaragara rwose mu nkuru ni nko kumva ko ubwoba bw'uko Sam afite inshuti nyinshi - yashora imari mu bigo byinshi kuva ku nshingano yari asanzwe akora nk'umuyobozi mukuru wa Y Combinator, gusa ku ishoramari rye bwite, bimwe muri byo bikaba bivuguruzanya ku buryo butaziguye n'uruhare rwe nk'umuyobozi mukuru wa OpenAI - kandi hari ituze rimukikije.
Byarantangaje ubwo nasomaga umurongo umwe byumwihariko. Urasobanura ibyo Ilya Sutskever yibuka, kandi biri hanze mu kibaya cya Silicon. Umuntu weseibita Ilya memo. Ariko hariho no guceceka hirya no hino. Banyuze hirya no hino, ariko ntibaganiriweho. Utekereza ko ibyo biva he? Ni ubwoba? Nibyifuzo byo gushora abamarayika? Ibyo biva he?
Ntekereza ko ari ubugwari bwinshi, nzaba inyangamugayo. Bamaze gutanga amakuru kumateka yumutekano wigihugu aho inkomoko ari abamenyekanisha bahagarara kubura byose kandi bagakurikiranwa nubushinjacyaha, baracyakora igikwiye kandi baganira kubintu kugirango babazwe. Nakoze ku nkuru zijyanye n'ibyaha bijyanye n'imibonano mpuzabitsina wavuze, aho amasoko ahahamuka cyane kandi atinya ubwoko bwihariye bwo guhanwa.
Mubihe byinshi hafi yiyi beat, urimo ukorana nabantu bafite umwirondoro wabo n'imbaraga zabo. Ni abantu bazwi ubwabo cyangwa bakikijwe n'abantu bazwi. Bafite ubuzima bukomeye. Njye mbona, mubyukuri ni bike cyane kubo baganira kubintu. Kandi ishimwe, urushinge rugenda nkuko twabivuze kare, kandi abantu baravuga byinshi.
Ariko igihe kinini nkiki, abantu rwose baracecekesha kuberako ntekereza ko umuco wikibaya cya Silicon ari inyungu zabo bwite zishaka inyungu kandi ubucuruzi butagira ubugome kandi bushingiye ku iterambere. Ndibwira rero ko ibi bibabaza ndetse na bamwe mubantu bagize uruhare mukwirukana Sam, aho wabibonye muminsi yakurikiyeho, yego, ikintu kimwe cyamuteye kugaruka no kwirukana abagize inama y'ubutegetsi ishaje nuko yakusanyije abashoramari bitiranya icyamuteye.
Ariko ikindi nuko abandi bantu benshi babakikije bari bafite impungenge bakabavugisha byihutirwa gusa bazindutse nk'igitambaro maze bahindura umurongo mugihe babonye umuyaga uhuha ukundi, kandi bashaka muri gari ya moshi yunguka.
Ni umwijima mwiza, mvugishije ukuri, uko mbibona nkumunyamakuru.
Bamwe muri abo bantu ni Mira Murati, ndizera ko mu minota 20 yari umuyobozi mushya wa OpenAI. Yaje gusimburwa. Byari ibintu bigoye cyane, kandi biragaragara ko Sam yagarutse. Undi muntu ni Ilya Sutskever, wari umwe mu majwi yo gukuraho Sam, hanyuma ahindura ibitekerezo, cyangwa byibuze avuga ko yahinduye imitekerereze, hanyuma aragenda ashinga uruganda rwe. Waba uzi icyamuteye guhindura ibitekerezo? Byari amafaranga gusa?
Nibyiza, kandi kugirango bisobanutse, ntabwo ndimo kuririmba abo bombi hanze. Hariho abandi bagize inama y'ubutegetsi bagize uruhare mu kurasa nabo baracecetse cyane nyuma. Ntekereza ko ari nkikibazo cyagutse rusange. Aba ni bamwe, abantu bafite fibre morale yo gutabaza no gufata ingamba zikomeye, kandi ibyo ni ibyo gushimirwa. Kandi nuburyo wizeza kubazwa. Ibyo byashoboraga gufasha abantu benshi barebwa nikoranabuhanga. Byashoboraga gufasha inganda kuguma zifite intego yibanda kumutekano.
Ariko guhangana nabatanga amakuru nabantu bagerageza kwihutira kubazwa byinshi, urabona kandi ko bisaba fibre yo kuyikuramo no guhagarara kubyo wemera. Kandi inganda rwose zuzuye abantu badahagarara kubyo bemera.
Nubwo batekereza ko bubaka Imana ya digitale hari ukuntu izakuraho imirimo yose cyangwa igatanga imirimo myinshi, cyangwa ikintu kizabaho.
Nibyiza, icyo nikintu. Umuco rero wo kudahagarara kubyo wemera hamwe nibibazo byose byimyitwarire bigwa munzira mugihe hari ubushyuhe cyangwa ikintu icyo ari cyo cyose gishobora guhungabanya igihagararo cyawe mubucuruzi birashoboka ko byose ari byiza kandi byiza kurwego runaka kubucuruzi-nkibisanzwe bikora widget iyo ari yo yose.
Ariko aba nabo ni abantu bamwe bavuga bati: "Ibi birashobora kutwica twese." Kandi na none, ntugomba kujya kuri Terminator Skynet ikabije. Hano hari urutonde rwibyago bimaze kugaragara. Nukuri, kandi bafite uburenganzira bwo kuburira kuri ibyo, ariko wagira ngo undi muntu wintebe yintebe yimitekerereze yukuntu ibyo bintu byombi bishobora kubaho mubantu bamwe aho barimo bavuga umuburo wihutirwa, birashoboka ko bashiramo urutoki bagerageza gukora ikintu, hanyuma bakikubita hasi bakicecekera.
Niyo mpamvu rwose ushobora kugira ubu bwoko bwibintu bitarinze kwandikwa nibintu bikururwa munsi yigitambara, kandi ntamuntu ubivugaho kumugaragaro imyaka myinshi nyuma yukuri.
Ishyaka risanzwe, rifite inshingano hano ntabwo ryaba abayobozi bakuru b'ibi bigo; yaba leta. Muri Amerika, birashobokani guverinoma za leta, birashoboka ko ari guverinoma ihuriweho na leta.
Mubyukuri, ibigo byose bifuza kuba isi yose. Hano hari byinshi byerekana isi yose. Narebye OpenAI, Google, na Anthropic bose bayobora ubuyobozi bwa Biden kurekura itegeko nyobozi rya AI. Amaherezo yari amenyo meza. Gusa yavuze ko bagomba kuvuga kubyo moderi zabo zishoboye no kurekura ibizamini byumutekano. Hanyuma bose bashyigikiye Trump, maze Trump arinjira ahanagura ibyo byose ati: "Tugomba guhatana. Ni ubuntu-kuri bose. Genda ubishakire."
Muri icyo gihe, bose bagerageza gukusanya inkunga mu bihugu byo mu burasirazuba bwo hagati bafite amafaranga menshi ya peteroli kandi bashaka guhindura ubukungu bwabo. Abo ni abanyapolitike. Ndumva abanyapolitiki bagomba rwose kumva ko umuntu avuga hanze yiminwa yombi, kandi ntibazababara cyane niba umuntu yatengushye amaherezo, ariko abanyapolitiki nabo bajyanwa gutwarwa. Kuki utekereza ko aribyo?
Ibi rwose, ndatekereza, kuki igice gifite akamaro mubitekerezo byanjye n'impamvu byari bikwiye kumara iki gihe cyose nibisobanuro birambuye. Turi mubidukikije aho sisitemu, nkuko ubivuze, igomba gutanga ubugenzuzi iba ifunguye. Ngiyo nyuma y’abaturage ba Leta zunze ubumwe z’Amerika, aho urujya n'uruza rw’amafaranga rudahungabana, kandi ni kwibanda cyane kuri kiriya kibazo hafi ya AI, aho usanga hari PAC zigenda ziyongera kandi zuzuza amafaranga mu gukuraho amabwiriza afite akamaro haba muri leta ndetse no ku rwego rw’igihugu.
Ufite [umwe mu bashinze OpenAI] Greg Brockman, uwa kabiri mu kuyobora Sam, atanga umusanzu mu buryo bukomeye kuri babiri muri bo. Biganisha ku bihe rwose hafatwa abadepite nabashobora kugenzura, kandi ibyo ni ibintu bigoye kuvamo. Ikintu kibabaje nuko, ngira ngo hariho ingamba zoroshye za politiki, zimwe murizo zikaba ziburanishwa ahandi kwisi, byafasha hamwe nibibazo bimwe na bimwe byabazwa.
Urashobora kugira byinshi byateganijwe mbere yo kohereza ibizamini byumutekano, nikintu kimaze kuba muburayi kubintu byerekana imipaka. Urashobora kugira ibyangombwa byanditse byanditse byanditse kubwoko bwiperereza ryimbere aho twabonye ibintu bitabitswe muri uru rubanza. Urashobora kugira urwego rukomeye rwuburyo bwo gusuzuma umutekano wigihugu kubwoko bwibikorwa remezo byo mu burasirazuba bwo hagati Sam Altman yasunikiraga.
Nkuko ubivuze, yarimo akora ibi byambo maze ahinduranya nubuyobozi bwa Biden, agira ati: "Dutegeke, udutegeke," kandi abafasha gukora itegeko nyobozi, hanyuma umwanya Trump yinjiye, mubyukuri muminsi yambere yambere, gusa nta kugenda yabujijwe, ati: "Reka twihute kandi twubake ikigo kinini cya data center i Abu Dhabi." Urashobora kugira, ibi nibyoroshye rwose, nkuburinzi bwo gutangaza amakuru. Nta tegeko rya federasiyo rirengera abakozi ba sosiyete ya AI bagaragaza ubu bwoko bwumutekano uvugwa muri iki gice.
Dufite aho Jan Leike, wari umusore mukuru wumutekano muri OpenAI, yayoboraga super alignement muri sosiyete. Yandikira inama y'ubutegetsi, cyane cyane ibikoresho byo gutangaza amakuru, avuga ko iyi sosiyete igiye kuri gari ya moshi mu nshingano zayo z'umutekano. Ubwo ni ubwoko bwabantu bagomba kugira urwego rwubugenzuzi bashobora kujyamo, kandi bagomba kurinda amategeko ateganijwe yubwoko tubona mubindi bice. Ibi biroroshye kwigana ubutegetsi bwa Sarbanes-Oxley.
Ndibwira ko nubwo ikibazo gikomeye cyane cyikibaya cya Silicon gifata kugenzura imbaraga zose zubutegetsi, kandi nubwo hari ibigo bimwe na bimwe bishobora gutanga ubugenzuzi nuburinzi, ndacyizera imibare shingiro ya demokarasi nabanyapolitiki bashishikajwe no kwikunda. Hariho amakuru menshi y’amatora agaragara ko Abanyamerika benshi batekereza ko impungenge, ibibazo, cyangwa ingaruka za AI muri iki gihe ziruta inyungu.
Ndatekereza rero ko umwuzure w'amafaranga muri politiki uva muri AI, biri mubushobozi bwacu bwose kugirango ibyo bibe isoko yikimenyetso cyibibazo kubanyapolitiki. Iyo Abanyamerika bagiye gutora, bagomba gusuzuma niba abaturage batoye, cyane cyane niba badakosora kandi barwanya amategeko, bitewe n'izo mpungenge zose, bagenzurwa na banki n’inyungu zidasanzwe z’ikoranabuhanga. Ndatekereza rero ko niba abantu bashobora gusoma ibice nkibi, bakumva podcast nkiyi, kandi bakitaho bihagije kugirango batekereze nezaibyemezo byabo nkabatora, hari amahirwe nyayo yo gushinga intara i Washington abahagarariye bakurikiranira hafi kandi bahatira kugenzura.
Ibyo birashobora kuba bimwe mubintu byiringiro nigeze numva umuntu avuga kubyerekeye inganda za AI zubu. Ndabishima. Ndumiwe n'amatora muvuga. Hano haribyinshi. Byose birahuye neza, kandi birasa nkurubyiruko rwinshi, byumwihariko, bahura na AI, niko barushaho kutizerana no kurakara. Ngiyo agaciro k'amatora yose. Kandi ndareba ibyo, kandi ndatekereza, nibyiza, yego, abanyapolitiki bajijutse bari kwiruka gusa. Bagira gusa bati: "Tugiye kubazwa ikoranabuhanga rinini."
Noneho ndatekereza kumyaka 20 ishize, umunyapolitike avuga ko bagiye kubiryozwa tekinoloji nini, kandi ndarwana no kubona numwanya umwe wa tekinoloji nini yabazwa. Gusa ikintu kintera gutekereza ko ibi bishobora kuba bitandukanye, nibyiza, mubyukuri ugomba kubaka ibigo byamakuru, kandi ushobora gutora ibyo, kandi ushobora kubisaba, kandi ushobora kubyamagana.
Ndibwira ko hari umunyapolitike warashwe inzu yabo gusa kuko batoye ikigo cyamakuru. Impagarara ziragera, nabyita, ikibanza cyumuriro. Wasobanuye insularite yo mu kibaya cya Silicon. Iyi ni ecosystem ifunze. Birumva ko batekereza ko bashobora kuyobora isi. Bashyira toni y'amafaranga muri politiki, kandi biruka birwanya ukuri ko abantu badakunda ibicuruzwa, bitabaha igifuniko kinini. Uko bakoresha ibicuruzwa, niko bararakara, kandi abanyapolitiki batangiye kubona ko hari ingaruka nyazo zo gutera inkunga inganda zikoranabuhanga kubantu bahagarariye.
Waganiriye n'abantu benshi. Uratekereza ko bishoboka ko inganda zikoranabuhanga ziga isomo rikwiye imbere yabo?
Uvuze ko byunvikana ko batekereza ko bashobora kuyobora isi batabazwa. Ntabwo ntekereza ko ikeneye ibisabwa "byunvikana". Ndashaka kuvuga, urebye imvugo Peter Thiel akoresha, birasobanutse. Birumvikana, urwo ni urugero rukabije. Kandi Sam Altman, nubwo ari hafi kandi akamenyeshwa ningengabitekerezo ya Thiel kurwego runaka, numuntu utandukanye cyane numuntu ushobora kumvikana bitandukanye kandi byapimwe kugeza kurwego.
Ariko ntekereza ko ingengabitekerezo yagutse ukura kuri Thiel, muri rusange: Turangije demokarasi, ntitukigikeneye. Dufite byinshi kuburyo dushaka kwiyubakira buke buke. Ntabwo twongeye guhangana na Carnegies cyangwa ba Rockefellers, aho ari abasore babi, ariko bumva bakeneye kwitabira amasezerano mbonezamubano no kubaka ibintu kubantu. Hariho nihilism nyayo yashizwemo.
Kandi ndatekereza ko byabaye impinduka zuzuzanya mu mateka ya Amerika yo muri Amerika ya ba mogol hamwe n’amasosiyete yigenga abona imbaraga z’ubutegetsi bukomeye mu gihe inzego za demokarasi zishobora kubiryozwa zarafunzwe. Ntabwo numva nizeye ko igitekerezo cy'uko abo basore bashobora kubyuka umunsi umwe bagatekereza bati: "Huh, mubyukuri birashoboka ko dukeneye kugira uruhare muri societe no gufasha kubaka ibintu kubantu."
Ndashaka kuvuga, urareba nkurugero rwa microcosmic yintangarugero yo Gutanga Imihigo, aho habaye akanya aho wasaga nkaho ari umugiraneza, kandi ako kanya karashize ndetse karanasekwa. Nicyo kibazo, ikibazo kinini cyo kubura kubazwa nibaza ko gishobora gukemurwa gusa hanze. Ibyo bigomba kuba abatora bakangurira no kuzura imbaraga zo kugenzura leta. Kandi uvuze ukuri rwose kuvuga ko vector nyamukuru abantu banyuzemo wenda bashobora kubigeraho. Ni ugukora aho ibikorwa remezo byubakwa.
Wavuze bimwe mubibazo byera-bishyushye bikikije ibi biganisha ku ihohoterwa n’iterabwoba, kandi biragaragara, ntamuntu ukwiye kuba umunyarugomo cyangwa iterabwoba. Kandi nanjye ntabwo ndi hano gutanga ibyifuzo byihariye bya politiki usibye kwerekana gusa zimwe muntambwe za politiki zisa nkibanze kandi zikorera ahandi kwisi, sibyo? Cyangwa abakora mu zindi nzego. Ntabwo ndi hano kugirango mvuge umwe muribo agomba kwicwa nuburyo.
Ntekereza ko hari ikintu kigomba kubaho, kandi kigomba kuba hanze, ntabwo twizeye ibigo gusa. Kuberako buryaubu dufite ibihe aho ibigo biteza imbere ikoranabuhanga kandi bifite ibikoresho byiza kugirango dusobanukirwe ningaruka, kandi mubyukuri nibyo bituburira ingaruka, nabyo ntakindi bifite uretse gushishikarizwa kwihuta no kwirengagiza izo ngaruka. Kandi gusa ntacyo ufite cyo guhuza ibyo. Ivugurura iryo ariryo ryose rero rishobora gufata ukurikije umwihariko, hari ikintu kigomba guhura nacyo. Kandi ndacyagaruka kuri kiriya cyizere abantu bagifite.
Muri rusange ngura ibitekerezo byawe. Reka nkore ikintu gito gihabanye nkeka ko nshobora kuvuga. Ikindi kintu gishobora kubaho hanze yagasanduku k'itora ni uko ibibyimba byinshi, sibyo? Ko ayo masosiyete yose atagera kumurongo, kandi ko nta soko ryibicuruzwa bikwiranye na progaramu ya AI. Kandi na none, sindabibona neza, ariko ndi umusubirizi wa tekinoroji y'abaguzi, kandi birashoboka ko mfite amahame yo hejuru kurenza abandi.
Hano hari isoko ryibicuruzwa bikwiranye nubucuruzi, sibyo? Kugira agatsiko k'abakozi ba AI bandika agace ka software bisa nkisoko nyayo kubikoresho. Kandi urashobora gusoma ingingo zituruka muri aya masosiyete zivuga ziti: "Twakemuye code, kandi bivuze ko dushobora gukemura ikintu cyose. Niba dushobora gukora software, dushobora gukemura ibibazo byose."
Ntekereza ko hari imipaka nyayo kubintu software ishobora gukora. Nibyiza cyane mubucuruzi. Porogaramu ntishobora gukemura ikibazo cyose mubyukuri, ariko bagomba kuhagera. Babonye kurangiza akazi, kandi birashoboka ko abantu bose batagera kumurongo. Kandi hariho impanuka, kandi iyi bubble iragaragara, kandi birashoboka ko OpenAI cyangwa Anthropic cyangwa xAI, imwe muribi bigo birananirana, kandi ishoramari ryose rirashira.
Uratekereza ko ibyo byagira ingaruka kuri ibi? Mubyukuri, reka mbanze mbaze ikibazo cya mbere. OpenAI ibereye kuruhande rwa IPO. Hariho gushidikanya kwinshi kuri Sam nkumuyobozi. Uratekereza ko bagiye kugera kumurongo wa nyuma?
Ntabwo ngiye guhanura, ariko ndatekereza ko uzamuye ingingo y'ingenzi, ni uko gushimangira isoko bifite akamaro imbere mu kibaya cya Silicon, kandi uburinganire bwimikorere ya bubble iriho ubu bihagarika guhagarika, byongeye, birashoboka, nkuko abanegura, kwiruka kugeza hasi kumutekano.
Nakongeraho kandi kuri ibyo, niba urebye amateka yabanjirije amateka ahariho ibintu bisa kandi bisa nkibidashoboka byatewe no gushimangira isoko ningaruka zishobora gusibanganya rubanda, hariho kuburana ingaruka. Kandi urabona ko nk'akarere gahangayikishijwe vuba aha. Muri iki cyumweru, Sam Altman ari hanze yemeza amategeko azarinda amasosiyete ya AI ubwoko bumwe na bumwe bw'inshingano OpenAI yagiye ihura nazo mu manza z'urupfu zitemewe. Byumvikane ko, hari icyifuzo cyo kugira iyo nkinzo kubiryozwa.
Ndibwira ko inkiko zishobora kuba uburyo bufite ireme, kandi bizaba bishimishije rwose kubona uko iyi koti imeze. Mumaze kubona, nkurugero, ikiciro-cyibikorwa-byo, muri njye na benshi, abandi banditsi benshi nzi ko ari abanyamuryango, barwanya Anthropic kubera gukoresha ibitabo byari munsi yuburenganzira. Niba hari ibitekerezo byubwenge byemewe nabarega babitayeho, nkuko twabibonye mumateka mubibazo kuva itabi rinini kugeza ingufu nini, urashobora kandi kubona izamu hamwe nubushake bwo kugabanya umuvuduko, kwitonda, cyangwa kurinda abantu murubwo buryo.
Irumva nkibiciro byose byinganda zinganda za AI zimanitse kubisobanuro byiza cyane byubugiraneza bwo gukoresha neza. Ntabwo azamuka bihagije. Imiterere y'ibiciro by'ibi bigo irashobora kuva mu igenzura niba igomba kukwishura hamwe n'abandi bose akazi bakoze, ariko ntibyoroshye kubitekerezaho, ntabwo rero tubitekereza. Kuruhande rwibyo, ibyo bicuruzwa byose birakora mugihombo. Nkuyu munsi, bose biruka kubura. Batwitse amafaranga arenze ayo bashobora kubona. Igihe kimwe, bagomba guhinduranya ibintu.
Sam ni umucuruzi. Nkuko wabivuze inshuro nyinshi, ntabwo ari technologiste. Ni umuntu wubucuruzi. Uratekereza ko yiteguye guhinduranya ibintu akavuga ati: "Tugiye gukora idorari?" Kuberako iyo mbajije, "Utekereza ko OpenAI igiye kubikora?" Ni mugihe bagomba gukora idorari. Kandi kugeza ubu, Sam yinjije amadorari ye yose asaba abandi bantu amafaranga yabo aho kugirango ibigo bye byinjize amafaranga.
Nibyiza, icyo nikibazo kinini gitinze kubibaya bya Silicon, kubashoramari, kubaturage.Urabona amagambo amwe hanyuma akava muri OpenAI asa nkaho yerekana ubwoko bwubwoba kuri ibyo. Gufunga Sora, guhagarika imishinga yinyongera, kugerageza zeru mubicuruzwa byingenzi. Ariko noneho kurundi ruhande, uracyabona, mugihe kimwe, toni zubutumwa bwinjira, sibyo? N'urugero ruto - biragaragara ko atari ishingiro mubucuruzi bwabo - ni ukugura TBPN.
Nkuko byavuzwe, burya mugihe twageraga kumurongo no kugenzura ukuri, isosiyete ihanganye nubu bwoko bwabanyamakuru ibona urubuga aho bashobora kugenzura neza ibiganiro. Ndibwira ko hari abashoramari benshi bahangayikishijwe, nkurikije ibiganiro nagize, ko iki kibazo cyo gusezeranya ibintu byose kubantu bose nacyo kigera no kubura kwibanda mubikorwa byubucuruzi bwibanze. Kandi ndashaka kuvuga, uri hafi yubwoko bwo guhanura no kureba isoko kurenza uko bishoboka. Nzagusiga hamwe nababumva kugirango ube umucamanza niba batekereza ko OpenAI ishobora guhinduranya ibintu.
Nibyiza, nabajije ikibazo kuko wabonye amagambo muri kiriya gice cyumuyobozi mukuru wa Microsoft, kandi ni uko, "Umurage wa Sam ushobora kurangira bisa na Bernie Madoff cyangwa Sam Bankman-Fried," aho kuba Steve Jobs. Ibyo ni ikigereranyo rwose. Niki wakora muri uko kugereranya?
Ntekereza ko ibyo ari imvugo isobanutse. Igice cya Steve Jobs ntabwo cyari muri cote. Ariko hariho ubwoko bushimishije bwo kubitekerezaho kuko buvugwa nka, "Ntekereza ko hari amahirwe make ariko nyayo yuko ahita aba SBF cyangwa umushukanyi wo ku rwego rwa Madoff." Ibisobanuro, mubitekerezo byanjye, ntabwo Sam aregwa ubwo bwoko bwuburiganya cyangwa ibyaha byihariye, ahubwo ko urugero rwo gutandukana no kubeshya kwa Sam rushobora kugira amahirwe yo kwibukwa kuri urwo rwego.
Yego, ndatekereza ko igitangaje cyane kuri ayo magambo, mvugishije ukuri, ni uko uhamagara hafi ya Microsoft ntubone nka, "Ibyo ni ibisazi. Ntabwo twigeze tubyumva." Urabona byinshi nka, "Yego, abantu benshi hano batekereza ko" bidasanzwe. Kandi ndatekereza ko bijya kuri utu tubuto kandi bigahindura ibibazo byubucuruzi.
Umushoramari umwe yambwiye, nk'urugero, nkurikije uburyo iyi mico yakomeje kubaho mu myaka yakurikiye iraswa "- kandi ibi byanatekereje ko iki ari igitekerezo gishimishije - ko atari ngombwa ko Sam agomba kuba munsi y’urutonde rwose, nkukwiye kuba hasi cyane mu bantu ukurikije ko abantu batagomba kubaka iri koranabuhanga, kubera ko bifite agaciro. Hariho abantu benshi bavuga ko Elon Musk ari we muntu. kubaka AGI, no munsi yandi mibare menshi ayobora muriki gice.
Natekereje rero ko ariryo suzuma rishimishije, kandi nuburyo bwo gutekereza nibaza ko ukura kuri pragmatiste nyawe wenda batagura mubibazo byumutekano cyane. Bafite intego yo gukura gusa, kandi batekereza ko OpenAI ubu ifite ikibazo na Sam Altman.
Igice cya Microsoft kirashimishije rwose. Iyo sosiyete yatekereje ko bari hejuru yisi. Ko bakoze ishoramari kandi bagiye gusimbuka abantu bose, cyane cyane cyane cyane Google, hanyuma bagasubira mubuntu bwiza bwabaguzi. Urwego bumva batwitse naya mahirwe - iyi ni sosiyete ikora neza cyane - sinkeka ko ishobora kuvugwa.
Wavuze inyuguti n'ibiranga imiterere. Ndashaka kurangirira hano hamwe nikibazo cyatwumva. Navuze ku kindi kiganiro cyacu, The Vergecast, ko ngiye kuvugana nawe, ndavuga nti: “Niba ufite ibibazo Ronan kuri iyi nkuru, nyereka.” Dufite rero hano ntekereza ko amasano ahuza neza nibyo urimo gusobanura. Ngiye kubisomera gusa:
Ati: "Nigute gutsindishirizwa imyitwarire mibi, ibikorwa bya Altman n'abandi bayobozi ba AI, bitandukaniye he n'impamvu Ronan yumvise ku bandi bayobozi bakomeye muri politiki n'itangazamakuru? Ntabwo bose basobanura ibikorwa byabo bavuga ko aribwo isi ihinduka? Niba ntakoze ibi, undi muntu azabikora? ”
Yego, hari byinshi muribyo bizenguruka. Navuga ko umwihariko wa AI ari uko imigabane ibaho kuba hejuru cyane bidasanzwe bivuze ko ibyatangajwe byombi bikabije, sibyo? Ufite Sam Altmanagira ati: “Ibi bishobora kuba amatara kuri twese.” Kandi nanone, abanegura bashobora kuvuga, mania uwabajije avuga arakabije, sibyo?
Ikintu Sam yashinjaga Elon, ku nyandiko, ni uko wenda ashaka gukiza ikiremwamuntu, ariko niba ari we. Ubwoko bwa ego bigize gushaka gutsinda, aribwo buryo Sam ikoresha igihe cyose, kandi ko iyi ari imwe mubitabo byamateka, ibi bishobora guhindura byose. Kubwibyo rero, ndetse no hejuru ndetse no hejuru ya "ugomba kumena amagi make" imitekerereze yibikorwa byinshi bya Silicon Valley, hariho, mubitekerezo byabantu bamwe bayobora AI, ngira ngo, gushyira mu gaciro byuzuye kubantu bose baguye.
Kandi wibagirwe kumena amagi. I / ntekereza ko benshi mubashakashatsi bashinzwe umutekano bavuga ko bishobora guhungabanya igihugu, gusenya isi, no kumena abantu babarirwa muri za miriyoni bafite akazi numutekano bihwanye - nibyo bidasanzwe kuri yo. Aho niho mfunga, ntekereza kuri uyu mubiri wo gutanga raporo, mubyukuri nizera ko ibi birenze Sam Altman. Ibi bijyanye ninganda zidafite imbogamizi kandi ikibazo kizunguruka muri Amerika kidashobora kukibuza.
Yego. Nibyiza, twagize ibyiringiro hariya, ariko ngira ngo aho ni ahantu heza ho kubireka.
(Aseka) Kurangiza kumanuka.
Birumvikana. Ngiyo inkuru yose ikomeye, mubyukuri. Ikigeragezo cya Musk-Altman kiregereje. Ntekereza ko tugiye kwiga byinshi hano. Ndakeka ko nzashaka kongera kuvugana nawe. Ronan Farrow, urakoze cyane kuba uri kuri Decoder.
Murakoze.
Ibibazo cyangwa ibitekerezo kuri iki gice? Mukubite kuri [email protected]. Turasoma rwose imeri!
