Ukuphela Kwenkathi Ekubikezelweni Okuthrendayo Kwa-SXSW, i-futurist u-Amy Webb wenze isimemezelo esinesibindi: ukufa kombiko waminyaka yonke we-tech trend. Lesi simemezelo esivela kumhlaziyi ophambili osize ukuchaza uhlobo sibonisa ushintsho olukhulu. Abaholi abathembele kule mibhalo engashintshi manje basengozini yokuphuthelwa yindaba enkulu, ebucayi kakhulu ebunjwa ikusasa lethu. Umbiko wonyaka wendabuko, u-Webb uthi, awusasebenzi. Ezweni loshintsho olusheshayo, oluxhumene, isifinyezo saminyaka yonke asikwazi ukuthwebula amandla ashukumisayo adlalayo. Lesi sikhathi sidinga indlela entsha yokubona izinto kusengaphambili ngamasu.
Kungani Umbiko Wonyaka Wethrendi Yezobuchwepheshe Wehlulekile Iminyaka eminingi, abaphathi belinde imibiko yethrendi yonyaka ukuze bahlele i-ajenda yabo. Le mibhalo ibala ubuchwepheshe obusafufusa kanye namashifu omphakathi. Zanikeza umbono oduduzayo, uma wenziwe waba lula, wekusasa. Nokho, le modeli iqukethe amaphutha abulalayo. Iphatha izinhlelo eziyinkimbinkimbi, ezithuthukayo njengohlu lokuhlola olulula. Lokhu kudala inkohliso eyingozi yokulawula nokuqonda.
Amaphutha Amathathu Abalulekile U-Webb uhlonze ukwehluleka okubalulekile okwenza umbiko wonyaka ungasebenzi:
Isifinyezo vs. Isithombe Esinyakazayo: Umbiko wonyaka uwuhlaka olulodwa. Igeja i-arc elandisayo yokuthi amathrendi angqubuzana, ahlangane, futhi aguquke kanjani ngesikhathi sangempela. Ukuhlaziywa Kwezinga Eliphezulu: Uhlu lwamathrendi ngokuvamile alunawo ukuhlaziya okujulile kwembangela. Bakhombisa "yini" kodwa abavamile ukuchaza ukuthi "kungani" noma "ngakho-ke" ezimbonini ezithile. I-Actionable Insight Gap: Le mibiko ayivamisile ukuhumusheka ebhukwini lokudlala lamasu acacile. Ziyazisa kodwa azihlomisi abaholi ukuthi benze izinyathelo eziwujuqu.
Abaholi Bendaba Enkulu Abasekho Ngokulungisa amathrendi ahlukene, abaholi abawanaki amathrendi ayisisekelo. Lawa amagagasi angaphansi anika amandla izinguquko zezinga eliphezulu. Bamele indaba yeqiniso enkulu. I-Webb igcizelela ukuthi ikusasa aliphathelene nobuchwepheshe obubodwa njenge-AI noma i-quantum computing. Imayelana nokuhlangana nokusebenzisana kwezizinda eziningi. Lokhu kudala amathuba angalindelekile kanye nezingozi zesistimu.
I-Key Meta-Trends Idinga Ukunakwa Ukuze uzulazule kuleli qiniso elisha, ukugxila kufanele kushintshele kulawa mandla axhumene:
I-Computational Redefinition of Everything: Amandla ekhompyutha aziguqula kanjani izinkambu zisuka kubhayoloji ziye kwisayensi yezinto ezibonakalayo, zidale izisekelo ezintsha zokuqamba izinto ezintsha. Izinkontileka Ezintsha Zokuthembana: Ubudlelwano obuguqukayo phakathi kwabantu, izikhungo, nedatha. Lokhu kuhlanganisa ubumfihlo, ukubeka izinto obala, kanye nezinhlelo ezintsha zokuqinisekisa njenge-blockchain. I-Global Systems Elungiselelwe Kabusha: Ukumiswa kabusha kwamaketanga okuhlinzeka, ikusasa lomsebenzi, nokuhlelwa kabusha kwemifelandawonye yezomnotho nezombusazwe emhlabeni jikelele ngemuva kobhubhane.
Ukwakha Ikhono Lokubona Angaphambili Elinamandla Ukubulala umbiko wonyaka akukhona ukungaziba ikusasa. Kumayelana nokuzibandakanya nayo ngobuhlakani obukhulu nangokuqhubekayo. Izinhlangano kufanele zakhe umsipha wokubona kusengaphambili okuqhubekayo. Lokhu kudinga ukusuka ekusetshenzisweni kancane uye ekuhloleni okusebenzayo. Kusho ukuskenela amasiginali, ukuqagela kokuhlola, nokusebenzisa izifaniso zamasu njalo.
Izinyathelo Zokwenza I-Outlook Yakho Yecebo ibe Yesimanje
Sungula Ukuskena Okuqhubekayo: Nikeza izinsiza zokuqapha amasiginali abuthakathaka kubo bonke ubuchwepheshe, umphakathi, kanye nepolitiki yezwe unyaka wonke. Ukuxhumana Kwemephu: Sebenzisa ukucabanga kwesistimu ukuze uqonde ukuthi amathrendi athonya futhi akhulisane kanjani. Bheka amaphuzu okuhlangana. I-Scenario Plan Proactively: Thuthukisa ikusasa elizwakalayo eliningi, hhayi nje ukuqagela komugqa owodwa. Ingcindezi-hlola isu lakho ngokumelene nokukodwa. Shumeka Ukubona kusengaphambili Ezinqumweni: Yenza ukuhlaziya okugxile esikhathini esizayo kube okokufaka okuyisibopho kuyo yonke imihlangano emikhulu yamasu nokwabiwa kwezinsiza.
Isiphetho: Ukusuka Embikweni Ongaguquki kuya Kusu Lokuphila Ubizo luka-Amy Webb lokuqeda umbiko wonyaka wokuthambekela kuwubizo lokuvusa ubuholi obungenandaba. Ikusasa akuseyona indawo ekude ezobuyekezwa kanye ngonyaka. Kuwumongo ophilayo, ophefumulayo wazo zonke izinqumo ezenziwa namuhla. Ukuze baqhudelane, abaholi kufanele basebenzise indlela eguquguqukayo nehlelekile yokubona izinto kusengaphambili. Lahla idokhumenti emile futhi wakhe inqubo efundayo, evumelana nezimo, futhi elindele ngesikhathi sangempela. Ingabe inhlangano yakho ikulungele ukudlulela ngale kohlu futhi ibone indaba yangempela? Hlola ukuthi i-Seemless ingakusiza kanjani ukuthi wakhe umkhuba oqhubekayo wokubona izinto kusengaphambili.