Kupera Kwenguva mune Trend Forecasting PaSXSW, futurist Amy Webb akaita chiziviso chakashinga: kufa kwegore negore tech maitiro chirevo. Chirevo ichi kubva kumuongorori anotungamira uyo akabatsira kutsanangura rudzi urwu anoratidza shanduko huru. Vatungamiriri vanovimba neaya magwaro akamira vari panjodzi yekupotsa iyo hombe, yakanyanyisa nyaya inoumba ramangwana redu. Chirevo chegore negore, Webb anopokana, hachichashandi. Munyika yekukurumidza, yakabatana shanduko, mufananidzo wepagore haugone kutora masimba ane simba ari kutamba. Iyi nguva inoda nzira itsva yekuona mberi.
Nei iyo Annual Tech Trend Report Yakundikana Kwemakore, vatungamiri vakamirira mishumo yegore negore kuti vagadzire hurongwa hwavo. Aya magwaro akaronga matekinoroji ari kusimukira uye shanduko dzemagariro. Vakapa murangariro unonyaradza, kana wakapfava, wenguva yemberi. Zvisinei, iyi modhi ine zvikanganiso zvinouraya. Inobata masisitimu akaomarara, ari kushanduka sechinyorwa chakareruka. Izvi zvinogadzira nyengedzo ine ngozi yekudzora nekunzwisisa.
Iwo Matatu Akakosha Kukanganisa Webb yakaratidza kutadza kukuru kunoita kuti mushumo wepagore usashande:
Snapshot vs. Motion Mufananidzo: Chirevo chepagore chimiro chimwe chete. Iyo inopotsa iyo inorondedzera arc yekuti mafambiro anodhumhana, anobatanidza, uye anoshanduka sei munguva chaiyo. Surface-Level Ongororo: Rondedzero yemaitiro anowanzo shaya yakadzama causal ongororo. Vanoratidza "chii" asi vasingawanzo tsanangura "nei" kana kuti "saka chii" kune mamwe maindasitiri. Actionable Insight Gap: Iyi mishumo haiwanzo kushandura kuita bhuku rekutamba rakajeka. Vanozivisa asi hazvireve kushongedza vatungamiriri kuti vatore matanho akasimba.
Vatungamiriri veNyaya Yakakura Vasipo Nekugadzirisa pane akakamurwa maitiro, vatungamiriri vanotarisisa iwo akakosha meta-maitiro. Aya ndiwo mafungu epasi ari kugonesa shanduko yepamusoro-soro. Vanomiririra nyaya huru yechokwadi. Webb inosimbisa kuti ramangwana harisi reyega tekinoroji seAI kana quantum computing. Izvo ndezvekusangana uye kudyidzana kwemadomasi akawanda. Izvi zvinogadzira mikana isingatarisirwi uye njodzi dzehurongwa.
Key Meta-Trends Inoda Kutariswa Kuti ufambe ichi chokwadi chitsva, kutarisa kunofanirwa kuchinjika kune aya akabatana masimba:
Iyo Computational Redefinition yezvese: Simba remakomputa riri kushandura sei minda kubva kubiology kuenda kusainzi yezvinhu, kugadzira hwaro hutsva hwekuvandudza. Izvo Zvibvumirano Zvitsva zvekuvimba: Kuvandudza hukama pakati pevanhu, masangano, uye data. Izvi zvinosanganisira kuvanzika, kujeka, uye matsva ekusimbisa masisitimu senge blockchain. Reconfigured Global Systems: Kudzoreredzwa kwemaketani ekugovera, ramangwana rebasa, uye kugadziridzwazve kwekudyidzana kwepasirese kwehupfumi nezvematongerwo enyika munyika yedenda.
Kuvaka Dynamic Foresight Kugona Kuuraya mushumo wegore hakusi kwekufuratira remangwana. Ndezvekubatana nayo zvine hungwaru uye nekuenderera mberi. Masangano anofanirwa kuvaka mhasuru inoenderera mberi yekuona zviri mberi. Izvi zvinoda kutama kubva pakushandisa chete kuenda kune inoshanda kuongorora. Zvinoreva kutarisisa masaini, kuyedza fungidziro, uye kumhanyisa hunyanzvi simulations nguva dzose.
Matanho ekuvandudza yako Strategic Outlook
Gadzira Inoenderera Kuongorora: Ipa zviwanikwa zvekutarisa zvisina simba masaini mukati metekinoroji, nzanga, uye geopolitics gore rose. Mepu Interconnections: Shandisa masisitimu kufunga kuti unzwisise kuti mafambiro anopesvedzera nekusimudzirana sei. Tsvaga maconvergence points. Scenario Plan Proactively: Gadzira akawanda anonzwisisika remangwana, kwete chete mutsara fungidziro. Stress-yedza zano rako pane yega yega. Embed Foresight muSarudzo: Ita ongororo yakatarisana neramangwana chinhu chinosungirwa kuisa kune ese makuru ehurongwa uye zviwanikwa misangano.
Mhedziso: Kubva kuStatic Report kuenda kuLiving Strategy Kushevedzera kwaAmy Webb kuti apedze chirevo chegore negore ndechekumutsa hutungamiriri husina hanya. Ramangwana haisisiri nzvimbo iri kure inofanira kuongororwa kamwe chete pagore. Imhenyu, inofema mamiriro esarudzo dzese dzakaitwa nhasi. Kuti vakwikwidze, vatungamiriri vanofanirwa kutora nzira ine simba uye yakarongeka yekuona zviri mberi. Bvisa iyo static gwaro uye uvake maitiro anodzidza, anochinja, uye anotarisira mune chaiyo-nguva. Sangano rako rakagadzirira kutama kupfuura rondedzero uye kuona iyo chaiyo nyaya? Ongorora kuti Seemless inogona kukubatsira sei kuvaka inoenderera yehurongwa hwekuona mafambiro.
